Watching the Tropics

Watching the Tropics is updated at 2AM, 5AM, 8AM, 11AM, 2PM, 5PM, 8PM, and 11PM daily
Last updated at 9/17/2025 8:03:50 PM
Atlantic Hurricane Basin Tracking Updates
Watching the Tropics tracks storms destined to the United States East coast, the Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico out of the Atlantic hurricane basin.
Follow us on Archive Disclaimers NHC Advisories Definitions

Tropical Storm Gabrielle Tropical Storm Gabrielle

Advisory:
9/17/2025 5:00:00 PM
Location:
19.4, -48
Winds:
50 mph
Movement:
NW at 14 mph
Pressure:
1005 mb

The center of Tropical Storm Gabrielle has re-formed north of its previous position. As of 500 PM AST, Gabrielle is located at 19.4N, 48.0W, and is moving northwest at 14 mph. It is approximately 990 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph, and no coastal watches or warnings are in effect. Little change in strength is expected in the next 48 hours, with potential gradual intensification over the weekend.

Tropical Storm Gabrielle - 5 Day Cone
Tropical Storm Gabrielle - 5 Day Cone
Tropical Storm Gabrielle - 3 Day Tropical Storm Winds
Tropical Storm Gabrielle - 3 Day Tropical Storm Winds
Tropical Storm Gabrielle - Current Wind
Tropical Storm Gabrielle - Current Wind
Tropical Storm Gabrielle - 5 Day Cone History
Tropical Storm Gabrielle - 5 Day Cone History
Storm Tropical Storm Gabrielle Spaghetti Models
Tropical Storm Gabrielle Spaghetti Models
Storm Tropical Storm Gabrielle Precipitation
Tropical Storm Gabrielle Precipitation
Storm Tropical Storm Gabrielle Thunderstorm Probability
Tropical Storm Gabrielle Thunderstorm Probability
Storm Tropical Storm Gabrielle wind speed projections
Tropical Storm Gabrielle Wind Speed Projections
Storm Tropical Storm Gabrielle historical path
Tropical Storm Gabrielle Historical Path

Tropical Storm Gabrielle Status

Tropical Storm Gabrielle has been officially named as the seventh storm of the current Atlantic hurricane season. The storm has gained attention as it develops in the Atlantic, with meteorologists closely monitoring its path and potential impacts. Gabrielle is expected to intensify as it moves through the ocean, with forecasts indicating a shift in its trajectory that may bring it closer to the United States. As it progresses, coastal regions are advised to stay informed and prepared for any potential weather changes.

Current meteorological models show Gabrielle tracking westward, raising concerns about possible adverse effects on various coastal areas. The National Hurricane Center is actively tracking the storm, issuing updates and advisories to ensure public safety. Communities along the projected path are being urged to take precautionary measures and remain vigilant for further developments. As Gabrielle continues to move through the Atlantic, regular updates on its strength and path are essential for those potentially in its way.

Invest 92L Invest 92L

Advisory:
9/17/2025 12:00:00 AM UTC
Location:
16.5, -46.5
Winds:
30 mph
Pressure:
1007 mb
Storm Invest 92L Spaghetti Models
Invest 92L Spaghetti Models
Storm Invest 92L Precipitation
Invest 92L Precipitation
Storm Invest 92L Thunderstorm Probability
Invest 92L Thunderstorm Probability
Storm Invest 92L wind speed projections
Invest 92L Wind Speed Projections

Invest 92L Status

A developing weather system, labeled as Invest 92L, is drawing significant attention as it churns through the Atlantic. Meteorologists predict that this disturbance has the potential to organize into a tropical storm, which would be named Gabrielle if it gains sufficient strength. While the spaghetti models remain varied in their predictions, early indications suggest that the storm might steer away from Florida, although coastal flooding advisories have been issued as a precaution in areas like Jacksonville. Residents are advised to stay informed as the system progresses.

The National Hurricane Center has been closely monitoring Invest 92L, which could solidify into a tropical depression shortly. This system is likely to become more organized, with forecasts suggesting an upgrade to Tropical Storm Gabrielle within the next day. As it develops, the surrounding weather conditions are conducive to strengthening, warranting an increased level of vigilance from communities along the potential path. Given the unpredictability of such systems, continued updates will be crucial for ensuring public safety in the coming days.

7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
Florida Radar
Florida Radar
GOES 19
Sandwich Composite
Sandwich Composite
Today's Tornado Risk
Today's Tornado Risk
8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
Global Tropics Hazard Outlook
Global Tropics Hazard Outlook
30 Day Coral Reef Watch
Current Atlantic and Gulf Radar
Current Atlantic and Gulf Winds

Atlantic Hurricane Basin Summary

Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located in the central Atlantic, is moving northwest with sustained winds of 45 knots and gusts up to 55 knots. The storm is expected to maintain its strength over the next 48 hours with potential intensification over the weekend. Convection is primarily observed in the NE and SW quadrants of the storm. Further details can be found in the forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center.

A tropical wave is moving west across the far eastern Atlantic with some isolated storms noted between 21W and 28W. In the Caribbean, a wave is bringing showers and an elevated flood risk near Puerto Rico and Venezuela, while another wave near the Yucatan Channel is producing strong convection from the Gulf of Mexico southward.

An upper-level trough in the Gulf of Mexico is causing heavy showers and thunderstorms, particularly in the southeast. High pressure to the north will maintain gentle to moderate winds with slight seas throughout the weekend.

In the Caribbean Sea, scattered storms are occurring in the SW region and near Jamaica. Traveler waves will continue to produce showers and moderate seas across the region. Meanwhile, east to southeast flow dominates the Caribbean Sea with varying sea heights.

The Atlantic Ocean is experiencing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, especially west of 73W, affecting the Bahamas and Florida Peninsula. A high-pressure ridge extends SW-W from the Iberian Peninsula, creating gentle to moderate winds and seas across the region outside of Gabrielle's path.

September 17, 2025, at 5:00 PM EDT

Current Power Outages

Last updated 9/17/2025 8:05:21 PM
Alabama - 1,379 customers
Florida - 2,934 customers
Georgia - 1,961 customers
Louisiana - 5,802 customers
Mississippi - 859 customers
North Carolina - 1,770 customers
South Carolina - 116 customers
Texas - 4,286 customers

2025 Hurricane Prediction

​NOAA's 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025.

  • Named Storms: 13 to 19

  • Hurricanes: 6 to 10

  • Major Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher): 3 to 5

  • Accumulate Cyclone Energy (ACE): 95% to 180% of the median

This forecast indicates a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30

2025 Storm Names

Andrea- TS Barry- TS Chantal- TS Dexter- TS Erin - Cat 5 Fernand- TS Gabrielle- TS Humberto Imelda Jerry Karen Lorenzo Melissa Nestor Olga Pablo Rebekah Sebastien Tanya Van Wendy

Key: Active Past Future

*Press/click the storm name to view additional details

2024 Hurricane Summary

  • 18 named storms
  • 11 hurricanes
  • 5 major hurricanes (Cat. 3+)
  • Total damage: ~$200 billion
Notable Hurricanes
  • Hurricane Beryl: Formed in late June, Beryl became the earliest Category 5 hurricane on record in the Atlantic basin. It made landfall on Carriacou in Grenada, causing significant damage and resulting in two fatalities.
  • Hurricane Helene: In September, Helene struck the southeastern United States, particularly devastating North Carolina. It was the deadliest storm to hit the U.S. mainland since Hurricane Katrina in 2005, with over 200 reported deaths and an estimated $48.8 billion in damages.
  • Hurricane Milton: In October, Milton rapidly intensified to a Category 5 hurricane with maximum sustained winds reaching 180 mph, making it one of the strongest hurricanes ever recorded in the Gulf of Mexico.
  • Hurricane Rafael: In November, Rafael reached Category 3 status before making landfall in Cuba, highlighting the season's prolonged activity.

Atlantic Hurricane Statistics

Named
Hurricanes
Major
Average
14.4
7.2
3.2
High
30
15
7
Low
4
2
0

Most Active Hurricane Season

2020 - 30 named storms, 14 hurricanes

Costliest Hurricanes

Hurricane Katrina (2005) - $125 billion

Harvey (2017) - $125 billion

Strongest Hurricanes (Based on Wind Speed)

Hurricane Patricia (2015) - 215 mph (345 km/h)

Hurricane Allen (1980) - 190 mph (305 km/h)

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale in MPH

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a 1 to 5 rating system that classifies hurricanes based on their sustained wind speeds and the potential damage they can cause. It helps communicate the intensity of hurricanes and the likely impacts on structures and environments. The scale does not account for factors like storm surge or rainfall, focusing only on wind speeds.

About Watching the Tropics

Watching the Tropics was originally built as a personal storm tracker with only the most important charts for the Atlantic hurricane basin. Numerous sites are available for tracking hurricanes, but Watching the Tropics minimizes extra "noise" and shows only what you need.

Designed in Florida by

Dillaman Research DillaDev.com

What does Watching the Tropics mean?

"Watching the tropics" refers to monitoring tropical weather systems, such as tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes, in regions close to the equator. Meteorologists and weather enthusiasts often use this phrase during hurricane season to indicate that they're keeping an eye on developing weather systems that could potentially strengthen and impact areas like the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, and Atlantic Ocean.

Websites, news outlets, or weather services also use "Tropics Watch" to keep the public informed about the latest developments in the tropics, especially during peak hurricane season.

What is an "invest" in the context of hurricanes?

An "invest" refers to an area of disturbed weather that meteorologists are investigating for potential tropical development. The term "invest" is short for "investigation area."

When an area is designated as an invest, it is given a number (between 90 and 99) followed by the letter "L" for systems in the North Atlantic or "E" for systems in the Eastern Pacific. For example, "Invest 91L" would refer to the 91st area of interest in the Atlantic basin for that season.

The designation of an invest allows meteorologists to focus their resources on a specific area, utilize specialized forecasting models, and issue updates as needed.

What is a Tropical Depression?

A tropical depression is a type of tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph (34 knots or 63 km/h).

Key characteristics:

  • Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms
  • Has a defined surface circulation
  • Lacks the wind intensity of stronger tropical cyclones
  • May eventually strengthen into a tropical storm if conditions are favorable

It's the first stage of development in the tropical cyclone classification used by the National Hurricane Center, followed by tropical storm and then hurricane.

Help us keep Watching the Tropics running!

  • Your donation keeps this free resource updated with real-time storm data and safety alerts.
  • Help us add new features and enhance tracking tools for even better storm preparedness.
  • Your contribution ensures we can maintain free access for all users, especially during storm emergencies.
  • Donations directly support the upkeep and growth of this site.