Watching the Tropics

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7/22/2026 2:03:42 PM
Atlantic Hurricane Basin Tracking Updates
Watching the Tropics tracks storms destined to the United States East coast, the Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico out of the Atlantic hurricane basin.
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Tropical Storm Bertha Tropical Storm Bertha

Advisory:
7/22/2026 1:00:00 PM
Location:
29.9, -89.1
Winds:
45 mph
Movement:
WNW at 7 mph
Pressure:
1000 mb

Tropical Storm Bertha is approaching the coast of southeastern Louisiana with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. The storm is currently located 35 miles south-southwest of Biloxi, Mississippi, and 60 miles east of New Orleans, Louisiana. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from the Alabama/Florida border to Morgan City, Louisiana, including Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. A Tropical Storm Watch is in place west of Morgan City, Louisiana, to Sargent, Texas, and for Lake Maurepas. Bertha is expected to move west-northwest and could maintain tropical storm intensity through late Thursday.

Bertha's effects include tropical storm conditions spreading across portions of the northern Gulf Coast and the potential for storm surge flooding along immediate coastal areas. Rainfall amounts are projected to be 1 to 4 inches, with isolated totals reaching 6 inches along the central to western Gulf Coast, which may result in isolated flash flooding. Additionally, swells from Bertha are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the northern Gulf Coast.

Tropical Storm Bertha - 3 Day Tropical Storm Winds
Tropical Storm Bertha - 3 Day Tropical Storm Winds
Tropical Storm Bertha - Key Messages
Tropical Storm Bertha - Key Messages
Tropical Storm Bertha - Peak Storm Surge
Tropical Storm Bertha - Peak Storm Surge
Tropical Storm Bertha - Flash Flood Risk
Tropical Storm Bertha - Flash Flood Risk
Tropical Storm Bertha - Current Wind
Tropical Storm Bertha - Current Wind
Storm Tropical Storm Bertha Spaghetti Models
Tropical Storm Bertha Spaghetti Models
Storm Tropical Storm Bertha Precipitation
Tropical Storm Bertha Precipitation
Storm Tropical Storm Bertha Thunderstorm Probability
Tropical Storm Bertha Thunderstorm Probability
Storm Tropical Storm Bertha wind speed projections
Tropical Storm Bertha Wind Speed Projections
Storm Tropical Storm Bertha wind speed history
Tropical Storm Bertha Wind Speed History
Storm Tropical Storm Bertha historical path
Tropical Storm Bertha Historical Path

Tropical Storm Bertha Status

Tropical Storm Bertha is rapidly approaching the Louisiana coastline, threatening to make landfall with significant impact. The storm, characterized by high winds and torrential rainfall, is not only affecting the local areas but also intensifying flood concerns along the East Coast. Meteorologists are closely monitoring the storm's trajectory and power, as Louisiana officials prepare for potential evacuations and resource allocation. The National Hurricane Center is keeping a vigilant eye on Bertha, providing timely updates to ensure safety and preparedness across the region.

As Bertha continues its advance, the Southern United States remains on high alert, with live trackers providing real-time updates on the storm's impact. States like Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia are bracing for heavy rains and potential flooding. Meanwhile, Florida is experiencing residual effects, with heightened concerns over rising water levels and infrastructure strain. The formation of another tropical depression nearby only compounds the situation, prompting urgent advisories and preparations to mitigate damage and safeguard communities.

7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
GOES 19
Sandwich Composite
Sandwich Composite
Today's Tornado Risk
Today's Tornado Risk
8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
Global Tropics Hazard Outlook
Global Tropics Hazard Outlook
30 Day Coral Reef Watch
Current Atlantic and Gulf Radar
Current Atlantic and Gulf Winds

Atlantic Hurricane Basin Summary

July 22, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT

Tropical Storm Bertha is currently located near 29.8N 88.6W, or about 30 nm south of Pascagoula, Mississippi, moving WNW at 5 kt with maximum sustained winds of 45 kt and gusts up to 55 kt. The storm is expected to move westward with increasing speed along the Louisiana and upper Texas coasts through Thursday, eventually moving inland into Texas by Friday. While weakening is anticipated, Bertha could remain at tropical storm strength until late Thursday. Swells from Bertha will reach the northern Gulf Coast, presenting dangerous surf and rip current conditions.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, and a central Atlantic wave is along 50W, both moving westward with no significant deep convection noted. The monsoon trough and ITCZ are producing scattered convection east of 21W and west of 48W.

In the Gulf of America outside Bertha’s influence, moderate winds and seas of 2-7 ft are observed. Bertha's movement will affect southeast Louisiana and the upper Texas coast before dissipating in Texas by Friday evening. In the wake of Bertha, a new high-pressure system over the NE Gulf will maintain light to gentle winds across the basin.

In the Caribbean, the usual pressure gradient is lessened by a surface trough near Hispaniola, resulting in moderate to fresh trades primarily north of Colombia and Venezuela. The Atlantic ridge will maintain fresh to strong winds in the south-central Caribbean, and fresh winds will pulse across the Windward Passage and the Gulf of Honduras through the forecast period.

In the Atlantic Ocean, moderate trades and seas of 4-7 ft prevail, with notable fresh to strong NE winds off Western Sahara. Surface troughs are promoting convection near Hispaniola, southwest of the Azores, and between 26W-34W. Fresh to locally strong trades are expected near Hispaniola, with a surface trough impacting the Bahamas and central/south Florida with showers and thunderstorms in the coming days.

2026 Hurricane Prediction

​NOAA's 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025.

  • Named Storms: 8 to 14

  • Hurricanes: 3 to 6

  • Major Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher): 1 to 3

  • Accumulate Cyclone Energy (ACE): 95% to 180% of the median

  • Primary Influencing Factor: Developing El Niño conditions expected to suppress Atlantic storm activity

This forecast indicates:

  • 55% chance of a below-normal season
  • 35% chance of a near-normal season
  • 10% chance of an above-normal season

Despite the lower forecast, NOAA emphasizes that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to create a major disaster, and residents in hurricane-prone areas should still prepare as usual for the season.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30

2026 Storm Names

Arthur- TS Bertha- TS Cristobal Dolly Edouard Fay Gonzalo Hanna Isaias Josephine Kyle Leah Marco Nana Omar Paulett Rene Sally Teddy Vicky Wilfred

Key: Active Past Future

*Press/click the storm name to view additional details

2025 Hurricane Summary

  • 13 named storms
  • 5 hurricanes
  • 4 major hurricanes (Cat. 3+)
  • Total damage: ~$9.4 billion
Notable Hurricanes
  • Hurricane Erin: In August, Erin rapidly intensified into a Category 5 hurricane over the Atlantic, becoming one of the strongest storms of the season. Although it remained offshore of the United States, it generated dangerous surf, coastal flooding, and massive waves along portions of the East Coast.
  • Hurricane Gabrielle: Gabrielle strengthened into a powerful Category 4 hurricane in September over the central Atlantic before transitioning into an extratropical system near Europe, bringing impacts to the Azores and parts of Spain.
  • Hurricane Humberto: Humberto became another Category 5 hurricane during the season but stayed over open Atlantic waters, contributing significantly to the season’s above-normal ACE despite limited land impacts
  • Hurricane Melissa: Melissa was the strongest storm of the 2025 Atlantic season, intensifying into a catastrophic Category 5 hurricane before making landfall in Jamaica near peak intensity. The storm caused widespread destruction across Jamaica and was later retired from the Atlantic naming list due to its severity.

Despite fewer total storms than forecasted, the 2025 season produced several extremely intense hurricanes, including three Category 5 systems, making it one of the more powerful Atlantic seasons in recent history.

Atlantic Hurricane Statistics

Named
Hurricanes
Major
Average
14.4
7.2
3.2
High
30
15
7
Low
4
2
0

Most Active Hurricane Season

2020 - 30 named storms, 14 hurricanes

Costliest Hurricanes

Hurricane Katrina (2005) - $125 billion

Harvey (2017) - $125 billion

Strongest Hurricanes (Based on Wind Speed)

Hurricane Patricia (2015) - 215 mph (345 km/h)

Hurricane Allen (1980) - 190 mph (305 km/h)

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale in MPH

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a 1 to 5 rating system that classifies hurricanes based on their sustained wind speeds and the potential damage they can cause. It helps communicate the intensity of hurricanes and the likely impacts on structures and environments. The scale does not account for factors like storm surge or rainfall, focusing only on wind speeds.

About Watching the Tropics

Watching the Tropics was originally built as a personal storm tracker with only the most important charts for the Atlantic hurricane basin. Numerous sites are available for tracking hurricanes, but Watching the Tropics minimizes extra "noise" and shows only what you need.

Designed in Florida by

Dillaman Research DillaDev.com

What does Watching the Tropics mean?

"Watching the tropics" refers to monitoring tropical weather systems, such as tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes, in regions close to the equator. Meteorologists and weather enthusiasts often use this phrase during hurricane season to indicate that they're keeping an eye on developing weather systems that could potentially strengthen and impact areas like the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, and Atlantic Ocean.

Websites, news outlets, or weather services also use "Tropics Watch" to keep the public informed about the latest developments in the tropics, especially during peak hurricane season.

What is an "invest" in the context of hurricanes?

An "invest" refers to an area of disturbed weather that meteorologists are investigating for potential tropical development. The term "invest" is short for "investigation area."

When an area is designated as an invest, it is given a number (between 90 and 99) followed by the letter "L" for systems in the North Atlantic or "E" for systems in the Eastern Pacific. For example, "Invest 91L" would refer to the 91st area of interest in the Atlantic basin for that season.

The designation of an invest allows meteorologists to focus their resources on a specific area, utilize specialized forecasting models, and issue updates as needed.

What is a Tropical Depression?

A tropical depression is a type of tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph (34 knots or 63 km/h).

Key characteristics:

  • Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms
  • Has a defined surface circulation
  • Lacks the wind intensity of stronger tropical cyclones
  • May eventually strengthen into a tropical storm if conditions are favorable

It's the first stage of development in the tropical cyclone classification used by the National Hurricane Center, followed by tropical storm and then hurricane.

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