Watching the Tropics

Watching the Tropics is updated at 2AM, 5AM, 8AM, 11AM, 2PM, 5PM, 8PM, and 11PM daily
8/26/2026 2:03:38 AM
Atlantic Hurricane Basin Tracking Updates
Watching the Tropics tracks storms destined to the United States East coast, the Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico out of the Atlantic hurricane basin.
Follow us on Archive PI Disclaimers NHC Advisories Definitions

Invest 96L Invest 96L

Advisory:
8/26/2026 12:00:00 AM UTC
Location:
13.5, -25
Winds:
25 mph
Pressure:
1010 mb
Storm Invest 96L Spaghetti Models
Invest 96L Spaghetti Models
Storm Invest 96L Precipitation
Invest 96L Precipitation
Storm Invest 96L Thunderstorm Probability
Invest 96L Thunderstorm Probability
Storm Invest 96L wind speed projections
Invest 96L Wind Speed Projections
Storm Invest 96L wind speed history
Invest 96L Wind Speed History

Invest 96L Status

The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring a tropical wave in the Atlantic, designated as Invest 96L, which has the potential to develop into a tropical storm. Forecasters have noted that the system is currently located between the west coast of Africa and the Caribbean, with environmental conditions appearing favorable for gradual development over the next few days. While the system shows signs of organization, there remains some uncertainty regarding its intensity and track as it moves westward. Experts suggest that the coming days will be crucial in determining whether Invest 96L will strengthen or dissipate.

In addition to Invest 96L, another disturbance is being tracked as it moves through the Atlantic, emphasizing the importance of vigilance during this active hurricane season. The next named storm, should these systems develop, will be called Dolly. Meteorologists are advising those in potentially affected areas to stay informed and prepare for possible impacts, although it is still too early to predict the precise effects on land. Continuous updates from the National Hurricane Center and other meteorological services will provide guidance as these weather events evolve.

Invest 95L Invest 95L

Advisory:
8/26/2026 12:00:00 AM UTC
Location:
40.7, -56.3
Winds:
30 mph
Pressure:
1014 mb
Storm Invest 95L Spaghetti Models
Invest 95L Spaghetti Models
Storm Invest 95L Precipitation
Invest 95L Precipitation
Storm Invest 95L Thunderstorm Probability
Invest 95L Thunderstorm Probability
Storm Invest 95L wind speed projections
Invest 95L Wind Speed Projections
Storm Invest 95L wind speed history
Invest 95L Wind Speed History

Invest 95L Status

The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring two tropical waves in the Atlantic Ocean, with one system, known as Invest 96L, showing potential for further development. Meteorologists predict that if conditions remain favorable, Invest 96L could strengthen into a tropical depression or even a tropical storm in the coming days. The system, currently located in the central Atlantic, is expected to encounter some unfavorable atmospheric conditions, but its progress will be carefully watched as it moves westward. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Dolly has been identified as the next name on the hurricane list, should any of these disturbances reach the required intensity.

Elsewhere near Bermuda, Invest 95L has formed, raising questions about its potential impact on the southeastern United States, particularly Florida. Although current models suggest a minimal chance of the system making landfall in Florida, residents are still advised to remain alert as tropical systems can be unpredictable. As the peak of the hurricane season approaches, meteorologists remain vigilant in tracking these developments, emphasizing the importance of preparedness for those in hurricane-prone areas. The upcoming weeks could see increased activity, highlighting the need for residents along the Atlantic Coast to stay informed and ready for any potential threats.

7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook
GOES 19
Sandwich Composite
Sandwich Composite
Today's Tornado Risk
Today's Tornado Risk
8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Temperature Outlook
8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
8-14 Day Precipitation Outlook
Global Tropics Hazard Outlook
Global Tropics Hazard Outlook
30 Day Coral Reef Watch
Current Atlantic and Gulf Radar
Current Atlantic and Gulf Winds

Atlantic Hurricane Basin Summary

August 26, 2026, at 2:15 AM EDT

An area of low pressure in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic, designated as Invest AL96, is producing showers and thunderstorms. Conditions are somewhat favorable for development, and a tropical depression may form as the system moves westward, although conditions may become less favorable by the weekend. High potential for formation exists over the next 48 hours.

The South Central Caribbean is under a Gale Warning due to the pressure gradient causing pulsing winds and very rough seas off northern Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela. Fresh to strong trades dominate the central Caribbean, with rough seas, while gentle to moderate winds prevail in the NW. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are expected in the eastern Caribbean. Invest AL96 may impact the Tropical North Atlantic with increasing winds by the weekend.

Across the Atlantic, moderate trades are observed west of 35W with seas ranging from 4-7 ft due to the northward-displaced Azores High. A deep layer trough is causing scattered moderate convection north of 23N. A stationary front is present along 30N east of 40W. Moderate to fresh winds are seen from the Canary Islands to north of the Cabo Verdes, with seas of 5-8 ft. Looking ahead, Invest AL96 has the potential to impact the southeast waters by late Saturday into Sunday.

2026 Hurricane Prediction

​NOAA's 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025.

  • Named Storms: 8 to 14

  • Hurricanes: 3 to 6

  • Major Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher): 1 to 3

  • Accumulate Cyclone Energy (ACE): 95% to 180% of the median

  • Primary Influencing Factor: Developing El Niño conditions expected to suppress Atlantic storm activity

This forecast indicates:

  • 55% chance of a below-normal season
  • 35% chance of a near-normal season
  • 10% chance of an above-normal season

Despite the lower forecast, NOAA emphasizes that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to create a major disaster, and residents in hurricane-prone areas should still prepare as usual for the season.

Hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30

2026 Storm Names

Arthur- TS Bertha- TS Cristobal- TS Dolly Edouard Fay Gonzalo Hanna Isaias Josephine Kyle Leah Marco Nana Omar Paulett Rene Sally Teddy Vicky Wilfred

Key: Active Past Future

*Press/click the storm name to view additional details

2025 Hurricane Summary

  • 13 named storms
  • 5 hurricanes
  • 4 major hurricanes (Cat. 3+)
  • Total damage: ~$9.4 billion
Notable Hurricanes
  • Hurricane Erin: In August, Erin rapidly intensified into a Category 5 hurricane over the Atlantic, becoming one of the strongest storms of the season. Although it remained offshore of the United States, it generated dangerous surf, coastal flooding, and massive waves along portions of the East Coast.
  • Hurricane Gabrielle: Gabrielle strengthened into a powerful Category 4 hurricane in September over the central Atlantic before transitioning into an extratropical system near Europe, bringing impacts to the Azores and parts of Spain.
  • Hurricane Humberto: Humberto became another Category 5 hurricane during the season but stayed over open Atlantic waters, contributing significantly to the season’s above-normal ACE despite limited land impacts
  • Hurricane Melissa: Melissa was the strongest storm of the 2025 Atlantic season, intensifying into a catastrophic Category 5 hurricane before making landfall in Jamaica near peak intensity. The storm caused widespread destruction across Jamaica and was later retired from the Atlantic naming list due to its severity.

Despite fewer total storms than forecasted, the 2025 season produced several extremely intense hurricanes, including three Category 5 systems, making it one of the more powerful Atlantic seasons in recent history.

Atlantic Hurricane Statistics

Named
Hurricanes
Major
Average
14.4
7.2
3.2
High
30
15
7
Low
4
2
0

Most Active Hurricane Season

2020 - 30 named storms, 14 hurricanes

Costliest Hurricanes

Hurricane Katrina (2005) - $125 billion

Harvey (2017) - $125 billion

Strongest Hurricanes (Based on Wind Speed)

Hurricane Patricia (2015) - 215 mph (345 km/h)

Hurricane Allen (1980) - 190 mph (305 km/h)

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale in MPH

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a 1 to 5 rating system that classifies hurricanes based on their sustained wind speeds and the potential damage they can cause. It helps communicate the intensity of hurricanes and the likely impacts on structures and environments. The scale does not account for factors like storm surge or rainfall, focusing only on wind speeds.

About Watching the Tropics

Watching the Tropics was originally built as a personal storm tracker with only the most important charts for the Atlantic hurricane basin. Numerous sites are available for tracking hurricanes, but Watching the Tropics minimizes extra "noise" and shows only what you need.

Designed in Florida by

Dillaman Research DillaDev.com

What does Watching the Tropics mean?

"Watching the tropics" refers to monitoring tropical weather systems, such as tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes, in regions close to the equator. Meteorologists and weather enthusiasts often use this phrase during hurricane season to indicate that they're keeping an eye on developing weather systems that could potentially strengthen and impact areas like the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, and Atlantic Ocean.

Websites, news outlets, or weather services also use "Tropics Watch" to keep the public informed about the latest developments in the tropics, especially during peak hurricane season.

What is an "invest" in the context of hurricanes?

An "invest" refers to an area of disturbed weather that meteorologists are investigating for potential tropical development. The term "invest" is short for "investigation area."

When an area is designated as an invest, it is given a number (between 90 and 99) followed by the letter "L" for systems in the North Atlantic or "E" for systems in the Eastern Pacific. For example, "Invest 91L" would refer to the 91st area of interest in the Atlantic basin for that season.

The designation of an invest allows meteorologists to focus their resources on a specific area, utilize specialized forecasting models, and issue updates as needed.

What is a Tropical Depression?

A tropical depression is a type of tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph (34 knots or 63 km/h).

Key characteristics:

  • Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms
  • Has a defined surface circulation
  • Lacks the wind intensity of stronger tropical cyclones
  • May eventually strengthen into a tropical storm if conditions are favorable

It's the first stage of development in the tropical cyclone classification used by the National Hurricane Center, followed by tropical storm and then hurricane.

Help us keep Watching the Tropics running!

  • Your donation keeps this free resource updated with real-time storm data and safety alerts.
  • Help us add new features and enhance tracking tools for even better storm preparedness.
  • Your contribution ensures we can maintain free access for all users, especially during storm emergencies.
  • Donations directly support the upkeep and growth of this site.