Invest 94L
The Atlantic hurricane season remains active with two systems, Invest 92L and Invest 94L, drawing significant attention. Currently located in the central Atlantic, both systems display potential for development, with meteorologists closely monitoring their trajectories and intensification. While neither system is currently expected to impact Louisiana, residents of Florida keep watchful eyes on Invest 92L, which shows patterns suggestive of a potential approach toward the state. Hurricane models and forecasts are continuously updated as the situation evolves, providing crucial information to those potentially in the path of these storms.
Invest 92L, in particular, presents a likelihood of becoming a tropical storm in the coming days, leading to heightened vigilance in regions along the southeastern United States. Meanwhile, Invest 94L is simultaneously being monitored, though its path appears less defined at present. Meteorologists remain focused on collecting data to refine predictions and best advise affected areas of any necessary preparations. These systems underscore the ongoing challenges during the peak of hurricane season, highlighting the importance of staying informed and prepared for potential weather threats.
Invest 92L
Forecasters are closely monitoring two tropical disturbances, Invest 92L and Invest 94L, in the Atlantic as they hold potential to strengthen into more organized systems. As the Atlantic hurricane season approaches its peak, these systems are drawing attention due to their potential trajectories that could impact the southeast United States, particularly Florida. Invest 92L, located in the central Atlantic, is showing signs of development, and experts are suggesting it could evolve into a tropical depression in the coming days. Meanwhile, Invest 94L, located closer to the eastern Bahamas, is also under watch, but current conditions suggest its chances of development are less likely in the short term.
Spaghetti model projections are actively being analyzed to predict the movement and intensity of these systems, with particular focus on Invest 92L's possible progression. The models indicate a range of pathways, some bringing the system towards the east coast of the United States, demanding vigilance from those in potentially affected regions. As these weather systems evolve, meteorologists emphasize the importance of staying informed through credible forecasts to prepare adequately for any storm-related impacts. The ongoing assessments aim to provide timely updates to ensure public safety as part of routine hurricane preparedness measures.
Tropical Weather Discussion and analysis indicate significant weather developments in the Caribbean and the Central Tropical Atlantic. A Caribbean Gale Warning is in effect due to a tightening pressure gradient, which will result in gale-force winds off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. The south-central Caribbean will experience very rough seas of up to 13 ft near and downwind of these gales.
In the Central Tropical Atlantic, showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave, located about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, have become less organized. Even though development is unlikely, gusty winds and heavy rain are anticipated across the Lesser Antilles tonight and Saturday. There's a low chance of tropical cyclone development over the next 48 hours.
Another tropical wave near 33W is moving west with scattered moderate convection. Conditions could allow for gradual development, and there's a low chance of tropical development in the next 48 hours and a medium chance within the next 7 days.
The Gulf of America is dominated by high pressure over its northern waters, leading to gentle winds and slight seas. Moderate to fresh winds are present in the southwest Gulf waters. This pattern is expected to remain steady through the weekend.
In the Caribbean Sea, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic and the Colombian low is causing fresh to near gale-force winds, with moderate to rough seas. A tropical wave will enhance trade winds over the central Caribbean, causing peak winds to reach gale-force tonight. Another tropical wave, Invest AL92, is expected to impact the Leeward Islands this evening, bringing strong winds and heavy rainfall to the region.
In the Atlantic Ocean, the Azores High influences the subtropical waters, supporting moderate to fresh winds south of 25N. Fresh to strong winds are also noted near the Canary Islands. Weather patterns suggest that fresh to strong NE to E winds south of 22N will continue, alongside slight to moderate seas. A weak cold front will affect the northern Atlantic by Sunday, though with minimal impact expected on wind speeds.
August 14, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDTThe National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season for 2025.
Named Storms: 8 to 14
Hurricanes: 3 to 6
Major Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher): 1 to 3
Accumulate Cyclone Energy (ACE): 95% to 180% of the median
Primary Influencing Factor: Developing El Niño conditions expected to suppress Atlantic storm activity
This forecast indicates:
Despite the lower forecast, NOAA emphasizes that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to create a major disaster, and residents in hurricane-prone areas should still prepare as usual for the season.
Hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30Key: Active Past Future
*Press/click the storm name to view additional detailsDespite fewer total storms than forecasted, the 2025 season produced several extremely intense hurricanes, including three Category 5 systems, making it one of the more powerful Atlantic seasons in recent history.
2020 - 30 named storms, 14 hurricanes
Hurricane Katrina (2005) - $125 billion
Harvey (2017) - $125 billion
Hurricane Patricia (2015) - 215 mph (345 km/h)
Hurricane Allen (1980) - 190 mph (305 km/h)
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is a 1 to 5 rating system that classifies hurricanes based on their sustained wind speeds and the potential damage they can cause. It helps communicate the intensity of hurricanes and the likely impacts on structures and environments. The scale does not account for factors like storm surge or rainfall, focusing only on wind speeds.
Watching the Tropics was originally built as a personal storm tracker with only the most important charts for the Atlantic hurricane basin. Numerous sites are available for tracking hurricanes, but Watching the Tropics minimizes extra "noise" and shows only what you need.
Designed in Florida by
"Watching the tropics" refers to monitoring tropical weather systems, such as tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes, in regions close to the equator. Meteorologists and weather enthusiasts often use this phrase during hurricane season to indicate that they're keeping an eye on developing weather systems that could potentially strengthen and impact areas like the Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, and Atlantic Ocean.
Websites, news outlets, or weather services also use "Tropics Watch" to keep the public informed about the latest developments in the tropics, especially during peak hurricane season.
An "invest" refers to an area of disturbed weather that meteorologists are investigating for potential tropical development. The term "invest" is short for "investigation area."
When an area is designated as an invest, it is given a number (between 90 and 99) followed by the letter "L" for systems in the North Atlantic or "E" for systems in the Eastern Pacific. For example, "Invest 91L" would refer to the 91st area of interest in the Atlantic basin for that season.
The designation of an invest allows meteorologists to focus their resources on a specific area, utilize specialized forecasting models, and issue updates as needed.
A tropical depression is a type of tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of less than 39 mph (34 knots or 63 km/h).
Key characteristics:
It's the first stage of development in the tropical cyclone classification used by the National Hurricane Center, followed by tropical storm and then hurricane.
